VOA慢速英语 | 科学家使用卫星预测天气和疾病
科学家正利用卫星数据监测大气条件、人类活动和环境变化,以预测包括脑膜炎、麻疹和霍乱在内的疾病暴发,这种方法将遥感技术与流行病学结合,为公共卫生预警提供新工具。
关键要点
- 卫星可追踪撒哈拉以南非洲萨赫勒地带的沙尘暴、湿度和风力,帮助预测脑膜炎高发季节。
- 通过分析城市夜间灯光亮度变化,研究人员能推断人口聚集程度,从而预测麻疹传播趋势。
- 海洋浮游生物水平可通过卫星遥感监测,进而预判孟加拉湾地区霍乱暴发风险。
- 由于疫苗供应有限,提前预测疾病爆发时间和地点对资源分配和防控至关重要。
- 卫星遥感正成为与天气预报类似的重要公共卫生预测工具。
**小白老师说:VOA即美国之音The Voice of America,**创立于1942年,是美国一家提供45种语言服务的国际多媒体广播电台,每周服务全球1.64亿的民众。VOA亦是美国广播理事会监管下的政府机构,是全球最著名的广播机构之一。
今天大家即将听到的是VOA的慢速英语节目,关于科学家使用卫星预测天气和疾病,请先浏览下列生词,然后点击条形框播放音频。参加医博英语考试的好朋友们可以把本文用作短文听力训练。
Words in This Story
1. belt – n. an area or place where a culture, a kind of crop or life forms are found
2. atmospheric – adj. relating to the atmosphere
3. humidity – adj. relating to wetness; n. – amount of moisture, wetness, in the atmosphere.
4. imagery – n. photographs or pictures
Meningitis(脑膜炎) is spreading across West Africa. The brain disease is a threat every year across 21 African countries. Health officials call this area, “the meningitis belt.”
Now, scientists have found they can predict and prepare for this and other diseases. How? They use information from satellites orbiting the Earth.
Every year, dust storms blow across the Sahel area of Africa. And every year, meningitis crosses the Sahel after the storms. Carlos Perez Garcia-Pando is an atmospheric scientist with the American space agency NASA(美国航空航天管理局). He spoke to VOA on Skype.
“Meningitis has been one of the most feared dry season diseases in Africa for a long time.”
The Sahel(萨赫勒地带,指撒哈拉沙漠南沿的不毛之地) stretches from the West African nation of Senegal to Ethiopia in the east. Tens of thousands of people across this area get the disease each year. About 10 percent of those infected die from the disease. Another 10 to 20 percent suffer permanent brain or nerve damage.
Mr. Garcia-Pando says scientists have yet to understand why meningitis appears to follow the seasonal dust storms in the Sahel. But he says experts do have the technology to study the storms. Satellites can watch these storms develop and examine the conditions that create them.
The NASA scientist says dust storms are his specialty. Yet he admits he had not studied meningitis until the World Health Organization contacted him.
There are not enough vaccines available to protect everyone in the Sahel from meningitis. But Mr. Perez Garcia-Pando says it would help to know when and where the disease will strike.
So he and other researchers developed a system that studies satellite measurements of dust, wind and humidity levels across the Sahel. The researchers also need to know the number of cases already identified by the end of the year. Using this information, they found they could predict how bad the next meningitis season would be.
This is just one of several ways experts are looking to the skies for help in predicting the spread of disease.
Nita Bharti is with Penn State University. She says she can predict the spread of measles by watching city lights grow brighter.
“The changes in brightness are telling us something about increasing and decreasing human aggregation, and that’s very likely driving the transmission of measles.”
Ms. Bharti spoke to VOA on Skype. She says the disease measles loves a crowd. In Niger’s capital, Niamey, the population grows in the dry season as farmers arrive from the countryside. They are looking for work in the city.
Brightness from their electric lights and cooking fires can be seen in satellite imagery of the area. Ms. Bharti and her team found they could predict how measles would spread through Niamey by watching parts of the city light up.
“The satellite can become a really powerful public health tool.”
That was Rita Colwell of the University of Maryland. Her group found it could predict cases of the deadly disease cholera in Bangladesh by using satellite information about conditions in the Bay of Bengal.
Cholera bacteria live on sea creatures that eat very small organisms known as plankton. She and NASA researchers thought they could predict an increase in cholera cases by studying plankton levels in the water.
“I’ll never forget. We were doing the calculations, and ‘bingo’! It just fell right into place. It was very exciting.”
Her group and other researchers hope to use satellites in disease prediction as other scientists use them to predict the weather.
I’m Jim Tedder.
VOA correspondent Steve Baragona reported this story from Washington. George Grow adapted it for Learning English. Caty Weaver was the editor.
常见问题
卫星如何帮助预测脑膜炎?
科学家利用卫星监测萨赫勒地区的沙尘暴、风速和湿度等大气条件,结合历年病例数据,建立模型预测下一季脑膜炎的严重程度。
为什么城市灯光能预测麻疹传播?
麻疹在人群密集处更易传播;卫星观测到尼日尔首都尼亚美旱季夜间灯光变亮,反映农村人口涌入城市,从而预示麻疹可能扩散。
卫星怎样用于预测霍乱?
霍乱弧菌依附于以浮游生物为食的海洋生物,而浮游生物数量可通过卫星遥感海水颜色和温度来估算,从而间接预测霍乱风险。
参考资料
VOA Learning English: Scientists Use Satellites to Predict Weather and Disease
本文内容基于美国之音慢速英语报道,由Steve Baragona采写,George Grow改编。
NASA Earth Science Applications for Public Health
提及Carlos Perez Garcia-Pando与NASA合作研究沙尘与脑膜炎关联。
Satellite-based monitoring of cholera in Bangladesh
引用马里兰大学Rita Colwell团队利用卫星数据预测霍乱的研究成果。